Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 9, 2020 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
0 - 2
Atletico

Ramalho (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hermoso (39'), Carrasco (86')
Simeone (42'), Hermoso (45+1'), Savic (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Atletico Madrid
35.72%	27.96%	36.31%

Both teams to score 47.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.89%

58.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.23%

78.77%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03%

30.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73%

67.26%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4%

30.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17%

66.83%

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 35.72%

Atletico Madrid 36.3%

Draw 27.96%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.72%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.3%