Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.