Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 1, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 3
Salzburg

Miranchuk (79' pen.)
Mukhin (62'), Ignatyev (79'), Cerqueira (80'), Nikolic (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Berisha (28', 41'), Adeyemi (81')
Camara (45+1'), Ramalho (80'), Stankovic (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
27.29%	25.58%	47.13%

Both teams to score 52.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.59%

51.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78%

73.22%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53%

33.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9%

70.1%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19%

21.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.97%

55.03%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 27.29%

Red Bull Salzburg 47.13%

Draw 25.57%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.29%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.31% Total : 47.13%