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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
43.19% | 25.45% | 31.36% |
Both teams to score 54.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% | 48.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% | 70.92% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.47% | 22.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.89% | 56.11% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% | 29.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% | 65.11% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.19% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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