Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.