Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio São Januário
Vasco2 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 38.29% | 28.82% | 32.88% |
| Both teams to score 45.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
