Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos4 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Santos
Tuesday, September 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, September 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-1 Vasco
Tuesday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
42.64% ( 0.68) | 26.86% ( -0.03) | 30.49% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 50.03% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.11% ( -0.08) | 54.89% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.82% ( -0.06) | 76.18% ( 0.07) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% ( 0.31) | 25.47% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% ( 0.43) | 60.31% ( -0.43) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.13% ( -0.5) | 32.87% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.56% ( -0.56) | 69.44% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Santos 42.64%
Vasco da Gama 30.49%
Draw 26.86%
Santos | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.49% |
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 8pm
Dec 20, 2020 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-27 21:58:17
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 56 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 53 |
3 | FortalezaFortaleza | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 52 |
4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 45 |
5 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 42 |
8 | InternacionalInternacional | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 42 |
9 | Atletico Mineiro | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 35 |
11 | BragantinoBragantino | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 32 |
12 | JuventudeJuventude | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 32 |
13 | CriciumaCriciuma | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Gremio | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 31 |
15 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 31 |
16 | Vitoria | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 28 |
17 | Corinthians | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 28 |
18 | Fluminense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 27 |
19 | Cuiaba | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 23 |
20 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 18 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |
1
Osasuna vs. Barcelona injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
2
Real Madrid-linked wonderkid addresses his future amid transfer talk
3
Everton vs. Man Utd - prediction, team news, lineups
4
AZ vs. Utrecht - prediction, team news, lineups
5
Man Utd vs. Spurs - prediction, team news, lineups
6
Done deal: 32-goal wonderkid 'completes Man United move'
7
Rashford upgrade: Man United 'lining up sensational swoop for Euro 2024 star'
8
Atletico vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups
9
Como vs. Hellas Verona - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Ipswich vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups
Sport News 24/7