Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Sep 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco5 - 1Coritiba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 4-2 Fluminense
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Coritiba 2-4 Bahia
Friday, September 15 at 12am in Brasileiro
Friday, September 15 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Coritiba |
52.72% ( 0.02) | 25.07% ( -0.02) | 22.2% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.56% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
