Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Jul 24, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude
1 - 0
Ceara

Pitta (66')
Gabriel (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Richard (29'), Vasquez (77'), Otavio (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara have hit their stride in recent weeks and head into the weekend as one of three teams who have won their last two games in the Serie A. Santos's men take on an out-of-sorts Juventude side who have failed to taste victory in nine consecutive outings, and we predict that they will maintain their fine run of results by claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventude in this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Ceara
36.93% ( -0.01)	29.5% ( -0.15)	33.57% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 43.38% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.42% (

0.48)

63.57% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.12% (

0.34)

82.88% (

-0.34)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

0.24)

32.99% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

0.27)

69.58% (

-0.27)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75% (

0.37)

35.25% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

0.38)

72.01% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Juventude 36.92%

Ceara 33.56%

Draw 29.49%

Juventude	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.92%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.49%	0-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.56%