Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Internacional win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
