Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.