Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.