MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:10:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 0
Austria Lustenau

Horvat (48'), Prass (70')
Hierlander (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diallo (34'), Schierl (71'), Boateng (90+2')
Diallo (52')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Austria Lustenau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Lustenau 2-3 Wolfsberger
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Lustenau
65.54% (-0.125 -0.13) 19.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 14.99% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (0.078000000000003 0.08)40.63% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.080999999999996 0.08)63.01% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)11.61% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)36.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Austria Lustenau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (0.183 0.18)39.75% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (0.17 0.17)76.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 65.53%
    Austria Lustenau 14.99%
    Draw 19.47%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Lustenau
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.47%
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.99%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Austria Lustenau
0-1
Sturm Graz

Matzler (64')
Wuthrich (33')
Gorenc Stankovic (5'), Kiteishvili (45+5'), Prass (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz14102236152132
2Rapid Vienna147611812627
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna137331913624
4LASK LinzLASK146262221120
5Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg125341616018
6Wolfsberger135262319417
7BW Linz135261618-217
8Hartberg124441616016
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt134361327-1415
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski143471118-713
11Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach132381218-69
12Grazer AKGrazer131661625-99


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