MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 12:36:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 0
Austria Lustenau

Horvat (48'), Prass (70')
Hierlander (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diallo (34'), Schierl (71'), Boateng (90+2')
Diallo (52')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Austria Lustenau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Lustenau

All competitions
Last Game: Austria Lustenau 2-3 Wolfsberger
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Lustenau
65.54% (-0.125 -0.13) 19.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 14.99% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (0.078000000000003 0.08)40.63% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.080999999999996 0.08)63.01% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)11.61% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)36.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Austria Lustenau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (0.183 0.18)39.75% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (0.17 0.17)76.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 65.53%
    Austria Lustenau 14.99%
    Draw 19.47%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Lustenau
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.47%
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.99%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Austria Lustenau
0-1
Sturm Graz

Matzler (64')
Wuthrich (33')
Gorenc Stankovic (5'), Kiteishvili (45+5'), Prass (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz1282227141326
2Rapid Vienna126511612423
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna126331813521
4Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg105321512318
5Wolfsberger125252318517
6Hartberg114431514116
7Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt114341318-515
8BW Linz124261418-414
9LASK LinzLASK124261819-114
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski123361016-612
11Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach122371116-59
12Grazer AKGrazer120661424-106
> Austrian Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!