MX23RW : Thursday, June 13 09:11:03| >> :600:1068449:1068449:
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 0
Sturm Graz

Djimsiti (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gorenc Stankovic (45+2'), Schnegg (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LASK 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 5 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Sturm Graz

Atalanta have an excellent record at home this season and will know that a win here could give them a chance to rotate their squad over the busy December period, which could be very important for both their league and cup aspirations. While the visitors will not be a pushover, we feel that the hosts will be too good for them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSturm Graz
47.78%24.62%27.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 55.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68%67.32%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.78%
    Sturm Graz 27.6%
    Draw 24.61%
Atalanta BCDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 27.6%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sturm Graz

Atalanta BC
82.5%
Draw
11.1%
Sturm Graz
6.3%
63
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Sturm Graz
2-2
Atalanta
Prass (13'), Wlodarczyk (80' pen.)
Hierlander (45+7'), Kiteishvili (45+2')
Hierlander (52')
Muriel (34', 45+7')
Lookman (45+7'), Bakker (82')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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8pm
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5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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