Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 1, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

UPC-Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Swarovski

Wuthrich (44')
Hierlander (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ertlthaler (57'), Taferner (75'), Ustundag (81'), Gugganig (84'), Kronberger (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and WSG Swarovski Tirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Austrian Bundesliga

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

WSG Swarovski Tirol

All competitions

Last Game: Swarovski 2-3 Wolfsberger
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
50.69% ( 0.29)	22.88% ( -0.01)	26.43% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.75% (

-0.19)

40.25% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.37% (

-0.2)

62.63% (

0.19)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

0.03)

16.04% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.6% (

0.06)

45.4% (

-0.06)

WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

-0.3)

28.26% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

-0.39)

63.97% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 50.69%

WSG Swarovski Tirol 26.43%

Draw 22.88%

Sturm Graz	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.69%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.43%