Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2023 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 0Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 2-2 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Tigre
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 3 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
36.76% ( -0.01) | 28.38% ( 0.01) | 34.86% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.63% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.33% ( -0.04) | 59.67% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.01% ( -0.03) | 79.99% ( 0.03) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( -0.03) | 31.1% ( 0.03) |