Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 27
Jul 29, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente0 - 2Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Independiente
Sunday, July 23 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 23 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Newell's OB
Tuesday, July 25 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, July 25 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 34.78%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.86%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-0 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Boca Juniors |
34.57% ( 0.15) | 30.64% ( 0.13) | 34.78% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 40.48% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
