MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 20:40:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 3
Boca Juniors

Castillo (90')
Bazzi (20'), Lescano (85'), Ramirez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merentiel (39'), Medina (74'), Benedetto (76')
Fabra (24'), Fernandez (28'), Benedetto (88'), Varela (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Huracan
Monday, July 10 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 1-1 Boca Juniors

As Boca have not fared well on the road - winning just three away games in the league this year - Gimnasia can make their defensive solidity at El Bosque pay this weekend. The hosts have conceded just eight times in 11 home matches, so a share of the spoils could be on the cards for Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (13.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawBoca Juniors
35.82% (0.537 0.54) 31.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 32.32% (-0.573 -0.57)
Both teams to score 37.41% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.45% (-0.136 -0.14)70.55% (0.13900000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.42% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)87.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (0.297 0.3)37.55% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (0.289 0.29)74.34% (-0.286 -0.29)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.511 -0.51)40.09% (0.515 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.473 -0.47)76.74% (0.474 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 35.81%
    Boca Juniors 32.31%
    Draw 31.85%
GimnasiaDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.74% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.151 0.15)
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 35.81%
0-0 @ 15.05% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 31.85%
0-1 @ 13.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 32.31%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Boca Juniors

Gimnasia
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Boca Juniors
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
Gimnasia
1-2
Boca Juniors
Morales (57')
Fabra (38'), Langoni (66')
Oct 31, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
0-1
Gimnasia
Pavon (90+2')
Cecchini (64')
Aleman (67')
Feb 14, 2021 10.20pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
2-2
Gimnasia
Izquierdoz (42'), Cardona (85')
Varela (66'), Medina (90+1')
Guiffrey (45+1'), Aleman (63')
Mar 8, 2020 12am
Gameweek 23
Boca Juniors
1-0
Gimnasia
Tevez (73')
Fabra (18'), Tevez (74'), Salvio (81'), Capaldo (90')

Goltz (67'), Licht (86'), Ayala (90')
Oct 27, 2018 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Gimnasia
2-1
Boca Juniors
Faravelli (11'), Comba (49')
Rinaudo (20'), Bonifacio (87')
Espinoza (44')
Reynoso (18'), Mas (38'), Cardona (41'), Goltz (45'), Gago (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan15762157827
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9Deportivo Riestra167361818024
10GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
11Boca Juniors155641915421
12BelgranoBelgrano155641919021
13Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
14Platense155461314-119
15LanusLanus154741822-419
16Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz144641515018
18IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
19Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
20EstudiantesEstudiantes154561516-117
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Sarmiento153661115-415
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba153481625-913
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa152671022-1212
28Barracas Central15258619-1311


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