Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Oct 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Gimnasia1 - 2Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 41.73%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 28.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
Result | ||
Gimnasia | Draw | Boca Juniors |
28.79% ( -0.81) | 29.47% ( 0.49) | 41.73% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 42.13% ( -1.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.55% ( -1.8) | 64.45% ( 1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.49% ( -1.29) | 83.5% ( 1.29) |
Gimnasia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.64% ( -1.66) | 39.35% ( 1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.94% ( -1.58) | 76.05% ( 1.58) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% ( -0.72) | 30.53% ( 0.72) |