The defending of Gimnasia has been a nightmare for opposing teams to contend with, and we expect to see Los Triperos hang back with numerous players surrounding Barracas at every turn on Thursday in a match that could have few openings for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Barracas Central	Draw	Gimnasia
32.48% ( -0.12)	28.53% ( -0.04)	38.98% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 45.84% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.51% (

0.13)

60.48% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.39% (

0.1)

80.6% (

-0.1)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.63% (

-0.02)

34.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.92% (

-0.02)

71.07% (

0.01)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.84% (

0.16)

30.15% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.69% (

0.19)

66.3% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Barracas Central 32.47%

Gimnasia 38.98%

Draw 28.52%

Barracas Central	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.47%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.98%