Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26

Oct 16, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa

Newell's OB
2 - 0
Boca Juniors

Manuel Garcia (47'), Ditta (81')
Sforza (13'), Lema (38'), Luciano (69'), Ditta (82'), Portillo (86')
Sforza (36')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zambrano (11'), Benedetto (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-2 Tigre
Friday, October 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, October 12 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.19%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Boca Juniors
28.55% ( -0.3)	29.26% ( -0.12)	42.19% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 42.53% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.1% (

0.26)

63.9% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.88% (

0.18)

83.11% (

-0.18)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.75% (

-0.11)

39.25% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.05% (

-0.1)

75.95% (

0.1)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70% (

0.37)

30% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88% (

0.44)

66.12% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Newell's Old Boys 28.54%

Boca Juniors 42.18%

Draw 29.25%

Newell's Old Boys	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 28.54%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 14.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 42.18%