Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Sep 25, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente1 - 0Newell's OB
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Newell's Old Boys.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union 0-1 Independiente
Monday, September 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, September 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
48.66% ( 0.14) | 28.1% ( 0.02) | 23.23% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.71% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37% ( -0.17) | 63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.53% ( -0.13) | 82.47% ( 0.12) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.75% ( -0.01) | 61.24% ( 0.01) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( -0.26) | 43.51% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.28% ( -0.22) | 79.72% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente 48.66%
Newell's Old Boys 23.23%
Draw 28.09%
| Independiente | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 48.66% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.23% |
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 9pm
Newell's OB
1-0
Independiente
Alberto Bravo (90+4')
Campagnaro (9')
Campagnaro (72')
Campagnaro (9')
Campagnaro (72')
Manuel Insaurralde (90+3')
Aug 18, 2018 1am
Form Guide
