Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20

Sep 19, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
0 - 1
Independiente

Polenta (68'), Canete (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Romero (47')
Benegas (17'), Elizalde (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Union	Draw	Independiente
40.04% ( 0.55)	28.35% ( -0.02)	31.61% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 46.14% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.99% (

-0.03)

60% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.76% (

-0.02)

80.24% (

0.03)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

0.3)

29.3% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

0.36)

65.26% (

-0.36)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

-0.39)

34.74% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

-0.42)

71.47% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Union 40.04%

Independiente 31.61%

Draw 28.34%

Union	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 40.04%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.61%