Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barracas Central win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barracas Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Barracas Central	Draw	Gimnasia
39.23% ( 0.14)	28.09% ( -0.36)	32.68% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 47.14% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.11% (

1.31)

58.89% (

-1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.62% (

1.01)

79.38% (

-1)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78% (

0.73)

29.22% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83% (

0.88)

65.17% (

-0.88)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61% (

0.85)

33.39% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98% (

0.91)

70.02% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Barracas Central 39.23%

Gimnasia 32.67%

Draw 28.09%

Barracas Central	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.09%	0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.67%