We said: Gimnasia 1-1 Argentinos Juniors
Gimnasia have at least gone three games unbeaten after their tough start, but it is wins they require if they are to stand a chance of moving into the top four, and they meet a tough and resilient Argentinos Juniors side on Thursday.
We anticipate both sides extending runs of draws and sharing the spoils in the ninth round of games, leaving both outside of the quarter-final places with five matches to go.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.