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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 7, 2021 at 11am UK
Nanjing Olympic Sports Center

Jiangsu
1 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Tashchi (88')
Kwon (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maeda (51')
Nakatani (46'), Naruse (74')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Jiangsu Suning and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Jiangsu SuningDrawNagoya Grampus
37.52%24.35%38.13%
Both teams to score 60.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43%42.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03%64.97%
Jiangsu Suning Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41%22.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8%56.2%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72%22.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26%55.74%
Score Analysis
    Jiangsu Suning 37.52%
    Nagoya Grampus 38.13%
    Draw 24.35%
Jiangsu SuningDrawNagoya Grampus
2-1 @ 8.36%
1-0 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-1 @ 7.56%
0-2 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.13%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2021 11am
Group Stage
Nagoya Grampus
3-0
Jiangsu
Kakitani (34'), Mateus (65' pen., 82')
Yoshida (50'), Nagasawa (51')

Shin (39'), Grant (66'), Lee (86'), Lee (88')
Shin (64')
rhs 2.0
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