Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.