Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.