Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for TPS had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a TPS win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.