2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli3 - 1Schalke
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Schalke 04.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Pauli 5-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 4-3 Magdeburg
Saturday, September 16 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, September 16 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
50.21% ( -0.01) | 24.17% ( -0.02) | 25.62% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.05% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 0.12) | 46.75% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( 0.12) | 69.01% ( -0.12) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.34% ( 0.04) | 18.66% ( -0.04) |