MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 14:07:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
5 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Metcalfe (4'), Smith (7'), Afolayan (38'), Ritzka (69'), Hartel (90+3')
Hurzeler (0'), Smith (27'), Burchert (45+2'), Saad (49')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Holtby (50')
Porath (16'), Holtby (47'), Rothe (73')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braunschweig 1-1 St Pauli
Friday, September 1 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-1 SC Paderborn
Saturday, September 2 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
41.21% (-0.815 -0.81) 25.2% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 33.59% (0.737 0.74)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.144 -0.14)47.04% (0.141 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.133 -0.13)69.28% (0.13 0.13)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)22.71% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (-0.68 -0.68)56.38% (0.678 0.68)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.386 0.39)26.87% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (0.505 0.5)62.19% (-0.508 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 41.21%
    Holstein Kiel 33.59%
    Draw 25.19%
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Skrzybski (28' pen.), Komenda (78'), Reese (90+3')
Becker (45+2'), Rapp (46'), Bartels (65'), Pichler (90+5'), Wahl (90+9')
Afolayan (39'), Wahl (53' og.), Daschner (61'), Paqarada (74')
Hurzeler (0'), Afolayan (77')
Afolayan (87')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
3-0
St Pauli
Bartels (8'), Porath (29'), Pichler (45+1')
Thesker (56'), Arp (90')

Ziereis (56'), Paqarada (80'), Dittgen (86'), Ole Becker (90+1')
Jul 25, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
St Pauli
3-0
Holstein Kiel
Paqarada (11'), Kyereh (62'), Burgstaller (90+1')

Muhling (39')
May 7, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Holstein Kiel
4-0
St Pauli
Arslan (22'), Bartels (24', 49'), Serra (67')
Arslan (13'), Lorenz (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Elversberg1684430181228
2FC Koln168443123828
3SC PaderbornSC Paderborn167722822628
4Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf167542618826
5Hannover168262217526
6KaiserslauternKaiserslautern167543026426
7Karlsruher SCKarlsruher167543230226
8Hamburger SV1667334231125
9Magdeburg166732522325
10SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt166643527824
11Hertha Berlin166372727021
12Greuther Furth165562428-420
13Nuremberg165473030019
14Schalke 04Schalke164572832-417
15Preussen Munster163671823-515
16SSV UlmUlm162771620-413
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig163491635-1913
18Jahn RegensburgJahn162212738-318


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!