Holstein Kiel

2 - 4

Magdeburg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.