Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.
