Erzgebirge Aue

2 - 1

Heidenheim

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.