World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2021 at 12am UK
colombia
Colombia3 - 1Chile
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.9%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Chile |
| 49.8% | 31.76% | 18.45% |
| Both teams to score 29.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
