World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 11pm UK
Paraguay1 - 1Colombia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 40.74% | 25.37% | 33.89% |
| Both teams to score 56.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
