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Chile national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2021 at 1am UK
 
Paraguay national football team

Chile
0 - 2
Paraguay


Brereton (45+1'), Medel (56'), Bravo (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Samudio (33'), Almiron (58' pen.)
Martinez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Chile and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paraguay could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Chile.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
ChileDrawParaguay
39.21%29.33%31.46%
Both teams to score 43.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.68%63.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.31%82.69%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.82%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36%36.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57%73.42%
Score Analysis
    Chile 39.2%
    Paraguay 31.45%
    Draw 29.32%
ChileDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 13.32%
2-1 @ 7.74%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Chile vs Paraguay

Chile
75.0%
Draw
18.1%
Paraguay
6.9%
216
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2017 11.30pm
Group Stage
Chile
0-3
Paraguay
Vidal (24' og.), Caceres (55'), Ortiz (92')
rhs 2.0
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