Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.74%) and 3-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.94%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
