Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadi Johan Cruyff
Barcelona1 - 1Chelsea Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Barcelona Women 2-1 Chelsea Women (Barcelona Women to win 3-1 on aggregate)
Barcelona have gone five years without losing a home Champions League game, and we do not see that changing in the second leg. We think that Chelsea will be able to trouble their hosts and get on the scoresheet, but we believe the Catalan giants will utilise their firepower to claim a narrow victory on the night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 80.04%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 7.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
80.04% ( 0.31) | 12.52% ( -0.16) | 7.44% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
