Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.