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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
0 - 0
Gaziantep


Faruk Beyaz (51'), Kilama (63'), Dadasov (75')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 2-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 6 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 2-2 Pendikspor
Friday, January 5 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Gaziantep

While the last five meetings between Hatayspor and Gaziantep have produced a combined 18 goals, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Mersin Stadium on Wednesday. Despite their recent struggles, Hatayspor have lost just two home games since January 2023 and we predict that they will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HataysporDrawGaziantep
48.84% (0.736 0.74) 24.89% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.27% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 53.35% (-0.395 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-0.247 -0.25)49.27% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68% (-0.223 -0.22)71.32% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.21000000000001 0.21)20.2% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (0.333 0.33)52.51% (-0.331 -0.33)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.67099999999999 -0.67)33.14% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.747 -0.75)69.74% (0.74799999999999 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 48.84%
    Gaziantep 26.27%
    Draw 24.88%
HataysporDrawGaziantep
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Gaziantep

Hatayspor
44.4%
Draw
16.7%
Gaziantep
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Gaziantep
4-1
Hatayspor
Jevtovic (38'), Markovic (56', 77'), Merkel (88')
El Kaabi (27')
Aug 20, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Hatayspor
1-2
Gaziantep
El Kaabi (31')
Vranjes (58'), Corekci (59')
Figueiredo (7'), Jevtovic (49')
Maxim (34'), Markovic (51'), Jevtovic (82')
Mar 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Gaziantep
2-2
Hatayspor
Maxim (5', 79')
Soyalp (15')
Caulker (20' og.), El Kaabi (30')
Ergun (40'), Adekugbe (73')
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Hatayspor
2-1
Gaziantep
Biram Diouf (52' pen.), Kamara (73')
Biram Diouf (39'), Ribeiro (57')
Sagal (82')
Demir (39'), Caulker (51'), Erdogan (67'), Maxim (67'), Ozer (90+6')
May 15, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 42
Hatayspor
0-1
Gaziantep

Abdioglu (45+1')
Jefferson (73')
Kozulj (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
13KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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