Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.
