Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
