MX23RW : Thursday, June 20 18:53:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Serie B | 1st Leg
May 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Cremonese

Catanzaro
2 - 2
Cremonese

Biasci (51'), Brignola (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tsadjout (14'), Ciofani (50')
Vazquez (37'), Quagliata (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie B playoff between Catanzaro and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Catanzaro 4-2 Brescia
Saturday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Catanzaro 1-1 Cremonese

A 36-year wait for Serie A football has left Catanzaro fans desperate for a top-flight return, but having only shot up from the third tier last season, they may find the playoffs one step too far. Cremonese can come away from the Ceravolo with a draw for the second time this term, setting up a chance to win the tie on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawCremonese
31.11% (0.262 0.26) 25.3% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 43.58% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)48.28% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.57% (-0.178 -0.18)70.43% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (0.080000000000013 0.08)29.07% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (0.097999999999999 0.1)64.98% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)22.12% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (-0.36 -0.36)55.49% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 31.11%
    Cremonese 43.58%
    Draw 25.3%
CatanzaroDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.58%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 34
Catanzaro
0-0
Cremonese
Bianchetti (32'), Pickel (37'), Johnsen (79')
Aug 19, 2023 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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