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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
3 - 0
Napoli

Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Monza
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Napoli

As Torino rarely concede on home soil and Napoli were unable to buy a goal over the festive period - and have since lost several key players - it will surely be a low-scoring encounter between the two clubs. One moment of magic - or even madness - could separate them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
35.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 26.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 37.45% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.064 0.06)53.83% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)75.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.061000000000007 0.06)28.87% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)64.74% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.69%
    Napoli 37.44%
    Draw 26.86%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.69%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
28.8%
Draw
21.6%
Napoli
49.5%
111
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-0
Torino
Osimhen (81')
Koulibaly (79'), Zambo Anguissa (85')

Rodriguez (37'), Linetty (55'), Pobega (75'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Torino
0-2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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