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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sassuolo logo

Roma
3 - 4
Sassuolo

Zalewski (26'), Dybala (50'), Wijnaldum (90+4')
Smalling (9'), Matic (54'), Ibanez (73'), Camara (86')
Kumbulla (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Lauriente (13', 18'), Berardi (45+4' pen.), Pinamonti (75')
Lopez (50'), Ruan (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-2 Cremonese
Monday, March 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Sassuolo

Perhaps running out of steam amid a hectic fixture list - and with one eye on their trip to Spain next week - Roma could slip up against a club they have recently struggled to beat. Sassuolo are back to something like their fearless best so should expect to breach their hosts' miserly back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawSassuolo
63.14% (4.571 4.57) 21.02% (-1.529 -1.53) 15.84% (-3.043 -3.04)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-1.191 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (1.511 1.51)45.89% (-1.51 -1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (1.418 1.42)68.2% (-1.417 -1.42)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.11% (1.966 1.97)13.89% (-1.965 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.68% (3.748 3.75)41.32% (-3.746 -3.75)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (-2.775 -2.78)41.85% (2.777 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (-2.511 -2.51)78.3% (2.511 2.51)
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.13%
    Sassuolo 15.84%
    Draw 21.02%
RomaDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.32% (0.82 0.82)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% (1.002 1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (0.431 0.43)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.708 0.71)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.413 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.358 0.36)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 63.13%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.723 -0.72)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.758 -0.76)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.684 -0.68)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.53 -0.53)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 15.84%

How you voted: Roma vs Sassuolo

Roma
79.2%
Draw
15.6%
Sassuolo
5.2%
77
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 5pm
Sassuolo
2-2
Roma
Smalling (47' og.), Traore (73')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Lopez (45+3'), Berardi (45+3')
Marco Ferrari (78')
Abraham (45+1' pen.), Cristante (90+4')
Mancini (21'), Kumbulla (83')
Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
2-2
Roma
Traore (57'), Raspadori (85')
Duricic (2'), Rogerio (87'), Turati (90'), Haraslin (90+3')
Pellegrini (26' pen.), Peres (69')
Diawara (15'), Pellegrini (44'), Cristante (90+2')
Dec 6, 2020 2pm
Roma
0-0
Sassuolo

Pedro (11'), Villar (25'), Mirante (45+2'), Karsdorp (87')
Pedro (41')

Lopez (18'), Raspadori (71'), Obiang (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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