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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Sassuolo


Banda (17'), Baschirotto (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thorstvedt (65')
Berardi (22'), Obiang (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Lecce
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Sassuolo

Lecce have scored in all but one game at Via del Mare this season, so there is a likelihood the Salentini find the back of the net against a side that have not kept an away clean sheet since September. Five of the home side's 11 games in Puglia have ended 1-1, and another low-scoring tie could be in the offing this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
43.54% (-0.259 -0.26) 25.37% (0.081 0.08) 31.08% (0.175 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.293 -0.29)48.61% (0.29199999999999 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.268 -0.27)70.72% (0.26700000000001 0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)22.27% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)55.72% (0.368 0.37)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)29.25% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)65.21% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 43.54%
    Sassuolo 31.08%
    Draw 25.37%
LecceDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
43.8%
Draw
32.9%
Sassuolo
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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