Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Roma |
29.19% ( -0.06) | 25.87% ( 0.02) | 44.94% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.47% ( -0.11) | 51.53% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.67% ( -0.1) | 73.33% ( 0.1) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.92% ( -0.1) | 32.08% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.45% ( -0.11) | 68.55% ( 0.12) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.13% ( -0.03) | 22.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.39% ( -0.05) | 56.61% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |