Europa League | League Stage
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma1 - 1Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Roma 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Now that Ivan Juric has taken the reins at Roma, the home side should be harder to beat, so Athletic Club's wait for a win on the Italian peninsula may go on. Both teams would probably settle for a point from one of their tougher league-phase contests, with much friendlier fixtures awaiting either side next month. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
43.54% ( 0.78) | 25.37% ( -0.25) | 31.08% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
