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Venezia
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
1 - 2
AC Milan

Lukaku (29')
Brozovic (64'), Vidal (69'), Hakimi (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ibrahimovic (13', 16')
Kjaer (22'), Kessie (45+1'), Ibrahimovic (60'), Pioli (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Derby della Madonnina between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
48.73%23.15%28.12%
Both teams to score 60.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81%40.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44%62.56%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.36%46.64%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62%62.37%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 48.73%
    AC Milan 28.12%
    Draw 23.14%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.46%
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 5.64%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.87%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 1.69%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head
Feb 9, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 21, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
Oct 21, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Icardi (90')
Politano (75'), Balde (90')

Biglia (20'), Calhanoglu (44'), Calabria (45'), Suso (61'), Bakayoko (90')
Apr 4, 2018 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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