Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli2 - 1Salernitana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Empoli 3-1 Bologna
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-3 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Empoli 2-2 Salernitana
While Salernitana are certainly tough to beat under Paulo Sousa, they have not travelled too well this season - winning only twice on the road. Both sides seem to have found some fluency in the final third, so another score draw between them could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Salernitana |
50.51% ( -0.42) | 24.75% ( 0.25) | 24.74% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
