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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Salernitana

Cagliari
4 - 2
Salernitana

Lapadula (12'), Gaetano (40'), Shomurodov (51', 76')
Augello (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kastanos (56'), Maggiore (58')
Kastanos (73'), Sambia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Salernitana

Games between these teams in Serie A produce goals, and Saturday's should be no different, with Cagliari likely to eke out a marginal victory over bottom Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSalernitana
57.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 23.9% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.57% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (0.221 0.22)53.18% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.189 0.19)74.75% (-0.187 -0.19)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.3% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (0.086000000000006 0.09)49.37% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2% (0.256 0.26)42.8% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (0.216 0.22)79.12% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 57.52%
    Salernitana 18.57%
    Draw 23.89%
CagliariDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.57%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Salernitana

Cagliari
66.0%
Draw
20.0%
Salernitana
14.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Salernitana
2-2
Cagliari
Dia (86', 90+5' pen.)
Kastanos (52'), Martegani (79'), Gyomber (90+11')
Luvumbo (79'), Viola (88')
Prati (71'), Zappa (80'), Deiola (89'), Makoumbou (90+5')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 36
Salernitana
1-1
Cagliari
Verdi (68' pen.)
Bohinen (55'), Zortea (84'), Radovanovic (88'), Perotti (90+6'), Gyomber (90+7')
Ribery (69')
Altare (90+9')
Pavoletti (63'), Cragno (67')
Radunovic (73')
Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cagliari
1-1
Salernitana
Pavoletti (73')
Grassi (27'), Henrique (30'), Pavoletti (79')
Bonazzoli (90')
Veseli (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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